This Tenang by-election is the threshold for the butterfly theory to take effect. The advent of this change will prevail in the state of Johor liken a floodgate with waning resistance to hold on desperately against the onslaught of the undercurrent of wanting change.
Johor is known to be BN stronghold and the fall to be for BN is beginning at Tenang. It will be dismantled piecemeal from each constituency comes the next General Election or by-election(s) that may happen from now till then.
The present political situations are not too chaotic to comprehend and say what you like, the situation is similar to pre 2008 where the country was run on auto-pilot mode except for now, it is piloted by an acrophobic captain.
For the butterfly effect to take place, a triggering point is needed. Where else could it be if not for Tenang to start the ball rolling?
With Normala Sudirman as the candidate for PAS and Mohd Azahar Ibrahim for BN, it is a new ball game after all.
The “ceramah” begins tonight will be with blazing six-shooter drawn from the hip. The highlights will be when top guns from both sides coming down with bazookas to blast each other to pulp. This may be my figurative expression over how I deem the political scenario seems to be and be ready to bet you “tutu” that this by-election will a steal compared to the last 13 that had taken place.
If Normala speaks during the ceramah, her eloquence will outshine Azahar’s. Judge for yourself!
Biting issues that plague Malaysians are like leprosy that is still without solutions let alone hope to go through each day with a reasonable three meals to fill the hungry stomachs. The cost of living will make everyone feels the pinch which entails the turning point for a change.
The 2008 tsunami was the result of people being angry with BN that PR reap the fruits, and today, people made hungry by BN will look to PR for hope.
There is no point shouting about racism, religion or even supremacy when right before our eyes nothing could blur our visions about the truth that had befallen on our country.
It is not Tenang by-election that the BN government is using as a yardstick to determine a snap GE. If BN wins comfortable (the PM wants more than 5,000 majority) then snap GE will be sooner and if lost it is otherwise. You can bet your “tutu” that win or lose for BN at Tenang, snap GE will be this year because the longer it drags the more difficult it is for BN to win.
Today is just the beginning of a long battle to fight between BN and PR for Tenang. By talking to the people and what the nightly ceremahs could offer, the result will not be difficult to forecast then.
I am filled with anxiety wanting to get that “special” feel how Tenang’s folks would think and the choice they have in mind. Hopefully, it would be a 50-50 chance either way without a wide margin of favouring majority.
Video on Tenang Nomination and result forecast to follow.
